Monthly Archives: September 2020

When we bet there are at least 5 weak reasons: here are what they are

How many times have we heard “you should have bet on the flop”, or “you should have checked, instead of going out”? Many and many more times we will hear of it. It is probably an infinite speech and that perhaps will never succeed in getting everyone to agree.

Usually we talk about betting for value or bluffing, but there are at least 5 other reasons that lead us to bet. These are weak reasons, not always necessarily mistakes or wrong actions but still bets that risk making us win less or make us lose a lot, depending on the case. In short , borderline situations, to be filed to acquire even more awareness of the game.

Never bet for info

scattered poker chips photo – Free Gambling Image on Unsplash

The famous saying ” point to understand where I am in the hand ” is the first weak reason in betting. A very recurring phrase, especially among those who are beginners. If the latter folds, will we have obtained useful information? No and we got less chips with our cards .

If we will be called instead? In reality we know that the rival has a hand with which he seems willing to play mmc sgd, so it is questionable: are we in front or behind? Is he setting up a bluff or is he trapping us?

The point of the discussion revolves around one thing only: in the decision to bet the ‘bet for info’ it must never be the main element, but possibly a collateral advantage.

Don’t bet to protect your hand

The first is obviously wrong, the second much more subtle.

In the first case the player tends to increase the value he assigns to his hand or to his point compared to what it actually is. When we overbet just to protect our hand we will only be called by better spots and consequently that’s not what we need to do in a value bet.

And here we go back to the other circumstance, in which “We bet to protect the hand”. Which in reality is not a protection but a bet made precisely to obtain maximum profit . This is the subtle “big” difference between the two actions.

Avoid betting to block a bigger bet

How many times you watch small bettate during a hand, just to discourage rivals to make the bet more extensive ? Lots of them.

The problem with this strategy is twofold . First, we should bet on value when we are ahead of the rival’s calling range . We should therefore bet the optimal amount, usually greater than the size of a blocking bet. Otherwise we shouldn’t bet at all unless we have a profitable bluffing opportunity. We should therefore scale our bet to get sufficient fold equity.

The second problem is that our out of position blocking bet is often obvious to an experienced player . And this exposes us to possible bluffs from oppo, or to escapes, when in reality we have an important point in hand. In short, the idea of ​​blocking must be eliminated from our mental process. Just for value or for bluffing .

 

Balance ranges, but to make chips

This is probably more common in online play, where hand tracking is more affordable than in live matches . What we must never forget is the importance of often balancing the range of our hands . This does not mean betting to balance : if we want to bluff, we do it because we believe it is the right situation to do so and for nothing else. We bluff to get more chips and not to balance our range of hands.

Do not manipulate your image

The fifth and final point concerns the desire of many players to give a different image of themselves with some bets. It is something that we will pay for in the long run, especially in games with low buyins and stakes. An ideal strategy is that instead of possessing the image we have generated by playing to the maximum of our potential . So we take advantage of our image when the opportunity arises, leaving useless and risky transformations aside.

Losing players can be recognized by 9 mistakes: here are what they are

In the game of poker, few will be winning players and many will be winning players. It is an objective and not questionable mathematical fact. Everyone can’t win. They will win on occasion, but in most cases they will be forced to defeat. So if the winning player is easy to recognize for the great continuity of results, sometimes we find it a little harder to recognize the loser.

Or rather, we struggle to read between the lines those apparently good players, but who in reality are part of the vast majority of the losers. To understand who the losing players are, all that remains is to observe their plays roulette live online, their behavior at the table and the image they give. From these things we can derive at least a dozen errors, from which we can understand that it is a losing player.

When the ego prevails over everything

The first cue, to recognize the losing player, is found when the player makes ego prevail over common sense. Incomprehensible bluffs, duels with other players only for previous histories and the desire to show well beyond their potential.

The obsession with being bluffed

In practice, despite having a point very often beaten by most of the hands, he stubbornly calls. Few times the possibility of a better hand than his rival flashes in his head and very often he will feel compelled to call, because he is bluffing.

Strong point, but closed gas

Losing players also have an incredible vice. Those times they have an important point in their hands, they almost always manage to get paid less than they should. They make the hand lose value, cash out less than expected and don’t realize they’ve missed a great opportunity. The so-called aggression is missing in these cases. In short, making chips is not their forte.

The bluff, this unknown

As mentioned earlier, losing players always believe they are being bluffed. But you will rarely see a non-winning player experience the thrill of a bluff. Too risky, too much anxiety and perhaps too much confusion in the head. Playing closed as manholes, for the others at the table the situation becomes all downhill.

The gods of poker against themselves

The losing player feels haunted by the gods of poker. Any blowout will be because of them and certainly not for having limped the aces from utg. Each lost hand has the flavor that certain divinities fall only on them and that’s it. Remember each hand is the only child of your choices. It is up to you to choose the best.

Mathematics? No I go to intuition

The losing player doesn’t like math and thinks that poker isn’t all about percentages and probabilities. Intuition comes first. It is true that in certain situations intuition and some sensations can make a difference. But just relying on them for the duration of a tournament, or a cash game table is very deleterious.

Outside Bankroll fear reigns

Here the losing player doesn’t even know where the bankroll is at home. Often he will fearlessly throw himself into excessive frays for his pockets. Except then get caught up in fear at the table and play even worse than usual, under the weight of figures too high for him.

I am Iron Man

Too much is too much. Playing for many hours brings inevitable fatigue, but the losing player does not care thinking he is indestructible. Just as he can’t say enough, when really the boards are not friends at all and things don’t go the right way. And undeterred he will continue to play, losing time, chips and morale.

Choose at random

The losing player, especially in the cash game. He doesn’t know how to select tables and opponents. Whether there may be Mr. X or Phil Ivey changes little for him. And in that moment he makes the first of the big mistakes.

Poker Guide – The Outs Calculation

We know well which hands to play with based on position , stack and our opponents. But now the time has come to see how to move on the “flop”, and to do so we must start from a necessary basis: to know the mathematical possibilities of being able to further improve our hand, or to know how many of our possible ” outs “, the cards useful to improve the point.

What are the “Outs”

Whether it was we who opened the game or that we followed an opponent’s raise, it doesn’t matter at the moment, what we are interested in focusing on is that we are on the flop with three cards on the table that gave us our first possible hand combination.

But, except for very rare cases, the two cards that remain to be put into play in the Turn and River could still improve our point and it is precisely these that interest us to better define which and how many are our ” Outs “, or the number of cards that can close a major point for us. 

How the “outs” are calculated

In principle, the calculation of the ” Outs ” is an operation that must become automatic every time, and it consists very simply in counting the number of these cards that improve our point, especially in those occasions where we will have projects to complete. Let’s take a couple of examples to make the basic idea immediately clear:

  • Flush draw : We opened the game with our handsome A J and on the flop we are faced with 10 2 7. At the moment our point is “Ace High”, but as you can well imagine the board is actually quite favorable and interesting because it has opened a flush draw that would make us as they say “Nuts”, or with the best possible point at stake. What are our “outs”? Which cards would help us improve the point? Given that in many cases, perhaps an Ace or a Jack might be enough to beat our opponent (it will then depend on which “range” of hands we can identify our opponent to know what is enough to win the hand), let’s just consider those cards so we will certainly win, which tend to be all the remaining hearts in the deck: “9 Outs”.
  • Straight draw : Another very common situation is to start holding a J 10 for example, and find yourself on the flop Q 9 5 .
  • “Combo” project : in some cases we may find ourselves in an even better situation with both cases mentioned above together.

There are obviously many other possibilities to analyze and evaluate, and it will be important to train yourself to immediately recognize the number of “ outs ” in each of these. But now that we have this number, why is it so important to our game choices?

The “Outs” and the odds

Knowing the number of ” Outs ” is essential to then be able to calculate our statistical percentage to improve our score. We have already seen this when we talked about winning percentages for starting hands: poker is a game of probability and range, let’s always remember that.

In this case, after calculating the “Outs”, the next step is to calculate the ” Odds” we have, that is the percentage of probability. To give a rapt example, in the case of the flush draw of the previous example, the “9 Outs” translate into exactly a 35% chance of finishing the point. That is about once in three we will have flush in the River.

How did we get to that percentage and above all, how can we make the most of it?

The concept of ” Odds and Probabilities” is so important that we will dedicate the entire next article of the Guide to explain it in the best possible way because it will then become essential to understand when it is necessary to push, when it is useful to abandon the shot and also how much to bet precisely to make it profitable. choice. We will also explain a very simple method to calculate the percentage by heart even for those who are not very good with math (the famous rule of “x4 and x2” ).

For now maybe practice with some hand you have played or seen, stopping on the flop to calculate how many “outs” you had in that stroke. Familiarize yourself with this mental calculation, and prepare yourself for the next chapter.